Завтра состоится плановое заседание комитета по денежной политике Банка Англии. По мнению 75% опрошенных аналитиков и дилеров агентством Market News, ставка останестся неизменной на уровне 5%. Понижения ставки на 0,25% ожидает только 20% опрошенных. Ниже представлена сводка прогнозов конкретных банков и фин. компаний по предстоящему событию.
____________________!Level !Prob. !Prob. !Prob.!Level !Level !
____________________!of rates !of !of !of !of !of !
____________________!after !unch. !25bp !25bp !rates !rates !
____________________!Sep !rates !rate !rate !year !end H1!
____________________!meeting? ! !cut !hike !end !2002 !
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Median Forecast 5.00% 75% 20% 0% 5.00% 5.25%
High Forecast 5.00% 95% 40% 5% 5.25% 6.00%
Low Forecast 5.00% 60% 5% 0% 4.50% 4.75%
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B Levett, 4Cast 5.00% 80% 20% 0% 4.75% 5.00%
R Iley, ABN-Amro 5.00% 75% 25% 0% 5.00% 6.00%
A Law, Barclays Capital 5.00% na na na 5.25% 5.75%
D Kaye, Capital Economics 5.00% 75% 25% 0% 4.50% 4.50%
G Davies, Credit Lyonnais 5.00% 80% 20% 0% 4.75% 5.00%
D Eggington, Daiwa 5.00% 60% 40% 0% 4.75% 4.75%
G Buckley, DMG 5.00% 85% 15% 0% 5.00% 5.00%
J O'Sullivan, Dresdner 5.00% 95% 5% 0% 5.00% 5.50%
J Butler, HSBC 5.00% 80% 15% 5% 4.75% 4.75%
D Page, Investec 5.00% 80% 20% 0% 5.00% 5.25%
M Hume, Lehman Brothers 5.00% 75% 25% 0% 5.00% 5.75%
I Stewart, Merrill Lynch 5.00% 70% 30% 0% 5.00% 5.50%
S Edwards, MMS 5.00% 90% 10% 0% 4.75% 5.25%
S Lewis, Monument 5.00% 70% 30% 0% 5.00% 5.25%
M Miller, Morgan Stanley 5.00% 70% 30% 0% 4.75% 5.25%
R Walker, RBS 5.00% 75% 20% 5% 5.00% 5.50%
B Hilliard, Soc. Gen. 5.00% 70% 30% 0% 4.50% 5.25%
D Smith, Williams de Broe 5.00% 90% 10% 0% 5.00% 5.50%