27 июля 2001, 08:47

Forex - Euro eases in midmorning Tokyo on ECB M3 data; quiet ahead of US GDP Forex EuroClub

TOKYO (AFX-ASIA) - The euro eased slightly in midmorning after European Central Bank M3 money supply data overnight suggested the ECB has less room for an interest rate cut to help boost growth, dealers said. However, overall, major currencies remained tightly held ahead of the release of US GDP data tonight, given renewed concerns over the US economy and the government's commitment to its strong-dollar policy. Commerzbank head of foreign exchange Ryohei Muramatsu said tonight's US GDP data will be very important for the dollar, although he expects that even a stronger-than-consensus number would fail to lift the currency. Market consensus is for second quarter GDP growth of 0.9 pct. Muramatsu said investors remain nervous about increasing their dollar holdings, given uncertainty over the outlook for the economy and the continuation of the US administration's strong-dollar policy. "America is worried about the economy and the strong dollar, which is a significant change from recent weeks," he said. "It's not that the European economy has improved, it's that the US has gained more attention. The market was only looking at one tree, not the forest. Now, I think, this is a turning point," he said. In fact, the euro weakened on expectations the greater-than-expected money supply growth data released overnight may constrain the ECB's ability to ease monetary policy. "They may not cut rates because of M3," Muramatsu said. He added that Japan's Upper House election on Sunday will provide few surprises. "No one is talking about the election. The LDP win has been discounted."